Monday, October 13, 2014

See interesting study on the negative effects of cannabis. We need that decision overturned. Where's Tim Eyman when you need him?


http://gu.com/p/42bz5

Excerpts:


"...driving while “cannabis-impaired” can double your risk of accidents (consuming alcohol increases the likelihood of crashing between six and 15 times). He finds that one in 10 regular users develops dependence, increasing to one in six if they started in adolescence."
 
"Regular (almost daily) cannabis use in adolescence doubles the risk of cognitive impairment. One study showed an eight-point drop in IQ with heavy use between 13 (before the drug was used) and 38 years of age. A link with psychosis is most likely in people with a genetic susceptibility to it. In this group, the risk of developing psychosis could rise from 10 to 20%. "

Thursday, September 4, 2014

Right on!

Excellent analysis - right on!

It may not fit Putin’s narrative, but Baltic Russians aren’t being victimised

The awkward fact for Kremlin apologists is that Nato has been a friend to Baltic Russophones. Eastern Ukrainians aren’t so lucky
 
theguardian.com,
       
Vladimir Putin attends a WWII ceremony
Vladimir Putin at a ceremony to commemorate WWII. ‘The plight of Russian speakers in Ukraine is the chief grievance justifying Kremlin intervention, ostensibly protecting its diaspora from fascists in Kiev.' Photograph: Maxim Zmeyev/Reuters
On the day Russia annexed Crimea, an old friend in St Petersburg texted me to apologise. “I’m sorry that my country has lost its mind,” he wrote. This friendship is 20 years old. It was struck up when I was a student in the disorderly days of Boris Yeltsin’s presidency and nurtured when, as a foreign correspondent, I watched Vladimir Putin impose a kind of order – the kind that has turned my friend into a liberal dissident and that makes me unwilling to publish his name.

He is part of the Perestroika generation, born too late to be indoctrinated as a Soviet patriot but old enough to remember what the old Kremlin propaganda looked like on television and so to despair at seeing it come back.

Russia isn’t the only former communist country in eastern Europe to flunk the transition to democracy, but it is the biggest and the most dangerous. The fortunate ones are the former Warsaw pact members that joined Nato and the European Union, a process that demanded political, economic and social reforms which, while clearly no panacea, worked better for people in states that tried them than in states that didn’t.

The bounty is shared by many ethnic Russians marooned in the Baltic and denied full citizenship of their new host country. The rigours of Nato and EU accession forced nationalist governments to furnish these minorities with basic rights and devise routes to integration. Regional experts confidently predicted ethnic warfare on the Bosnian model. It never happened.

I flag up this case study because the plight of Russian-speakers in Ukraine is the chief grievance justifying Kremlin intervention, ostensibly protecting its ethno-linguistic diaspora from monstrous fascists in Kiev. I lived in Riga when Moscow would periodically ramp up exactly the same rhetoric against Latvia and Estonia. I also have no doubt that, were Latvia and Estonia not now protected by Nato, they too would be foundering states subject to Putin’s aggressive territorial demands.

The EU accession process was vital when it came to putting humane laws on the statute books and training up civil servants in the ways of democratic statehood. There was an obvious economic interest in joining the Brussels club. But for those countries that bordered Russia, acceptance by Nato was the big prize. It was the thick black ink that would make permanent the borders around their sovereignty that Moscow plainly believed were drawn in pencil and vulnerable to erasure.
There were many voices seeking to deny the Balts that security. The argument then was much like today’s calls for soothing of Russian tempers over Ukraine: the west, giddy with cold war triumphalism, is provoking the bear by setting up shop on the borders of his den, leaving him no choice but to lash out. There is a grain of truth and a dollop of delusion in that account. Moscow never needed the slightest provocation to undermine the sovereignty and viability of bordering states whose legitimacy it always denied. It did, however, know to back off when the west made clear it counted eastern Europe’s fledgling democracies as friends. Friends they would defend.

Western enthusiasm for February’s Maidan revolution and eagerness to deal with the new regime in Kiev is depicted by the Kremlin as a hostile act. But the precedents of 20 years suggest a country that reforms in partnership with western institutions will become steadily more stable and prosperous. And that would be good, not just for Europe and Ukraine but for Russia too. By contrast, a country that falls under Kremlin tutelage becomes more corrupt and dysfunctional, which is terrible for the people who live there and isn’t even good for Russia. This is the perversity of Putin’s position. A Ukraine that is allowed to develop without Putin’s tanks on its soil will still be required by geography, language and history to be a partner and conduit for Russian economic interests. The Kremlin’s current policy indicates preference for paranoid militarism over economic development inside Russia as well as Ukraine.

There isn’t much audience in Britain for this benign account of western motives. On the right there is the Ukip tendency, shared by many Tories, that is so jaundiced in hatred of Brussels that it prefers to see EU ambitions for partnership with Ukraine in Putinist terms – a land grab. On the left, too, there is sympathy with the notion that western support for Kiev is a divisive affront to the Slavic brotherhood of nations. That impulse comes in part from the habit of routinely opposing anything containing the imperial whiff of western arrogance (I fear it also contains a weird muscle memory of genuflexion to Kremlin-friendly arguments). As if Moscow’s self-serving narration of history to justify grabbing chunks of other countries’ land is something other than imperialism.

As for the rights of Russians and Russian-speakers in candidate countries – it was Nato as much, if not more than the EU which in the Baltic insisted on liberalising reform as a condition of membership. This was for the simple reason that neutralising inter-ethnic tensions in the Baltic matched the west’s hardheaded interests. Having a bunch of effectively stateless and miserable Russians inside a Nato country was transparently a bad idea, and the governments in Riga and Tallinn had to work hard to persuade Washington that they were sorting things out. US advisors would visit the region and dole out uncomfortable home truths about the need for nationalist politicians to fix their embittered attitude to minorities, to stop seeing themselves as victims and start behaving like responsible governments. The awkward fact for today’s Kremlin apologists is that Nato has been a friend to the Russian and Russophone populations in eastern Europe.

The problem has not disappeared and there are still grievances over citizenship, but Baltic Russians are not – as the Kremlin would like to depict them – a victimised minority suffering under an apartheid regime. Their rights and their prospects are immeasurably better than they would be as involuntary subjects of some Kremlin-concocted separatist banana republic. It is because of Nato that they are spared such a fate. Eastern Ukrainians are not so lucky.
 

Friday, August 29, 2014

Intervene!

From the Guardian:

http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/aug/29/obama-us-foreign-policy-isis-syria-iraq-ukraine

Obama on US foreign policy: principled realist or failed isolationist?

In a week that has seen the president sucked closer towards military engagement in Iraq and Syriaoba, Obama’s verbal gaffe suggests even he is not sure of the overarching plan

--------------------------------------

Quote from the article:

"The trouble is not all of America’s opponents seem as willing to play by the rules of this new world order. Economic sanctions on Russia, painful as Obama claims they are, do not seem to be deterring Putin from invading Ukraine. In the time it has taken the US to apply political pressure in Iraq, Isis forces have captured up to a third of the country."

Interesting observation: while the good guys waffle, the bad guys move. Obama's reluctence to use military in favor of diplomacy and sanctions is honorable. But also shows its limitations in these situations.

1. The Ukraine debacle is about Nato and Putin/Russia's sense that Ukraine is slipping away into the grip of Nato. Putin couldn't care less about the rebels or eastern Ukrainian land. It's the western encroachment upon Russia that is in principle troubling to their anachronistical sentiments. Hence, he grabbed Crimea while he could; while the west was snoozing, caught by surprise. Now, he's more concerned by making a point; as ugly as it is being made.

Europe needs to step up: a strong, united, unequivocal position by the west (and others) is what's needed to get Russian attention. On all levels!

2. The IS is an easier issue. No concern or respect for their wellbeing is needed. Through their actions they have placed all moral rights with military intervention. Europe and Obama (and others) must coordinate the intervention.

Thursday, August 28, 2014

It's wrong!

No wonder it's nice to work for Microsoft. They make tons of money and don't pay their taxes. Wrong superceedes legal. Imagine a cultural emphasis on social resposibility instead of the sexy 'what's good for me.' Microsoft cannot do without the U.S. market, the government has the upper hand: legislate away, please! Microsoft is not going anywhere.


Microsoft Admits Keeping $92 Billion Offshore to Avoid Paying $29 Billion in U.S. Taxes


on August 22 2014 9:26 AM


Microsoft Corp. is currently sitting on almost $29.6 billion it would owe in U.S. taxes if it repatriated the $92.9 billion of earnings it is keeping offshore, according to disclosures in the company’s most recent annual filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The amount of money that Microsoft is keeping offshore represents a significant spike from prior years, and the levies the company would owe amount to almost the entire two-year operating budget of the company’s home state of Washington.

The company says it has "not provided deferred U.S. income taxes" because it says the earnings were generated from its "non-U.S. subsidiaries” and then "reinvested outside the U.S.” Tax experts, however, say that details of the filing suggest the company is using tax shelters to dodge the taxes it owes as a company domiciled in the United States.

In response to a request for comment, a Microsoft spokesperson referred International Business Times to 2012 U.S. Senate testimony from William J. Sample, the company’s corporate vp for worldwide tax. He said: “Microsoft’s tax results follow from its business, which is fundamentally a global business that requires us to operate in foreign markets in order to compete and grow. In conducting our business at home and abroad, we abide by U.S. and foreign tax laws as written. That is not to say that the rules cannot be improved -- to the contrary, we believe they can and should be.”

The disclosure in Microsoft’s SEC filing lands amid an intensifying debate over the fairness of U.S.-based multinational corporations using offshore subsidiaries and so-called "inversions" to avoid paying American taxes. Such maneuvers -- although often legal -- threaten to signficantly reduce U.S. corporate tax receipts during an era marked by government budget deficits.

White House officials have called the tactics an affront to "economic patriotism" and President Obama himself has derided "a small but growing group of big corporations that are fleeing the country to get out of paying taxes." In a July speech, he said such firms are "declaring their base someplace else even though most of their operations are here."

"I don't care if it's legal; it's wrong," Obama said. Meanwhile, Democratic lawmakers have been pushing legislation they say would discourage U.S. companies from avoiding taxes through offshore subsidiaries. The proposals are being promoted in advance of the 2014 elections, as polling suggests the issue could be a winner for the party. In Illinois, the issue has already taken center stage in the state’s tightly contested gubernatorial campaign.

Because Microsoft has not declared itself a subsidiary of a foreign company, the firm has not technically engaged in an inversion. However, according to a 2012 U.S. Senate investigation, the company has in recent years used its offshore subsidiaries to substantially reduce its tax bills.

That probe uncovered details of how those subsidiaries are used. In its report, the Senate's Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations described what it called Microsoft’s “complex web of interrelated foreign entities to facilitate international sales and reduce U.S. and foreign tax.” The panel’s report noted that “despite the [company’s] research largely occurring in the United States and generating U.S. tax credits, profit rights to the intellectual property are largely located in foreign tax havens.” The report discovered that through those tax havens, “Microsoft was able to shift offshore nearly $21 billion (in a 3-year period), or almost half of its U.S. retail sales net revenue, saving up to $4.5 billion in taxes on goods sold in the United States, or just over $4 million in U.S. taxes each day.”

U.S. Sen. Carl Levin, D-Mich., said at the time: “Microsoft U.S. avoids U.S. taxes on 47 cents of each dollar of sales revenue it receives from selling its own products right here in this country. The product is developed here. It is sold here, to customers here. And yet Microsoft pays no taxes here on nearly half the income.”

Apple and General Electric, which also employ offshore subsidiaries, are the only U.S.-based companies that have more money offshore than Microsoft, according to data compiled by Citizens for Tax Justice. In all, a May report by CTJ found that “American Fortune 500 corporations are likely saving about $550 billion by holding nearly $2 trillion of ‘permanently reinvested’ profits offshore.” The report also found that “28 these corporations reveal that they have paid an income tax rate of 10 percent or less to the governments of the countries where these profits are officially held, indicating that most of these profits are likely in offshore tax havens.” 

Microsoft’s use of the offshore subsidiary tactics has exploded in the last five years, with the amount of Microsoft earnings shifted offshore jumping 516 percent since 2008, according to SEC filings.

According to Microsoft’s filings, if the company repatriates the $92.9 billion it is holding offshore, it would face a 31.9 percent U.S. corporate tax rate. U.S. law generally permits companies to deduct the foreign corporate taxes they’ve already paid from the U.S.’s official 35 percent corporate tax rate. According to CTJ's Richard Phillips, that means Microsoft's disclosure implies the company is paying just 3.1 percent in the locales where it is currently holding the cash. Phillips says such an extremely low rate strongly suggests the firm is keeping the earnings not just in relatively low-tax locales like Ireland, Singapore and others the company has disclosed, but also in smaller countries like Bermuda that are considered true tax havens.

According to a Wall Street Journal report in 2012 about companies reducing transparency about their subsidiaries, Microsoft “once disclosed more than 100 subsidiaries [but] reported just 13 in its 2003 annual report and 11 in its 2012 report.”

Wednesday, August 27, 2014

Uziland strikes again

Latest gun-outrage:

US girl, nine, kills gun instructor http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-28948946

Yes, makes sense, "Guns & Burgers" - bring the whole family and we'll teach your 5-year-old how to use firearms - guninstructor proudly hails in the video. With pride. Proud. While you enjoy your fries. Will come in handy when the government show up to take away your guns. 5-year-olds in the window sills defending daddy's rights with uzis.

Daddy of course must protect his rights and property due to all those guns out there. Makes sense.

Must be proud to be an American.

Monday, August 18, 2014

Just say no


Excellent opinion by Krugman. Give Crimea back and, indeed, watch out for China. Although, they don't need to start wars in Inner Mongolia, Xinjiang, Tibet etc. - they already have.

================================

Why We Fight Wars

By PAUL KRUGMAN AUG. 17, 2014 NEW YORK TIMES
The Opinion Pages| Op-Ed Columnist

A century has passed since the start of World War I, which many people at the time declared was “the war to end all wars.” Unfortunately, wars just kept happening. And with the headlines from Ukraine getting scarier by the day, this seems like a good time to ask why.

Once upon a time wars were fought for fun and profit; when Rome overran Asia Minor or Spain conquered Peru, it was all about the gold and silver. And that kind of thing still happens. In influential research sponsored by the World Bank, the Oxford economist Paul Collier has shown that the best predictor of civil war, which is all too common in poor countries, is the availability of lootable resources like diamonds. Whatever other reasons rebels cite for their actions seem to be mainly after-the-fact rationalizations. War in the preindustrial world was and still is more like a contest among crime families over who gets to control the rackets than a fight over principles.

If you’re a modern, wealthy nation, however, war — even easy, victorious war — doesn’t pay. And this has been true for a long time. In his famous 1910 book “The Great Illusion,” the British journalist Norman Angell argued that “military power is socially and economically futile.” As he pointed out, in an interdependent world (which already existed in the age of steamships, railroads, and the telegraph), war would necessarily inflict severe economic harm even on the victor. Furthermore, it’s very hard to extract golden eggs from sophisticated economies without killing the goose in the process.

We might add that modern war is very, very expensive. For example, by any estimate the eventual costs (including things like veterans’ care) of the Iraq war will end up being well over $1 trillion, that is, many times Iraq’s entire G.D.P.

So the thesis of “The Great Illusion” was right: Modern nations can’t enrich themselves by waging war. Yet wars keep happening. Why?

One answer is that leaders may not understand the arithmetic. Angell, by the way, often gets a bum rap from people who think that he was predicting an end to war. Actually, the purpose of his book was to debunk atavistic notions of wealth through conquest, which were still widespread in his time. And delusions of easy winnings still happen. It’s only a guess, but it seems likely that Vladimir Putin thought that he could overthrow Ukraine’s government, or at least seize a large chunk of its territory, on the cheap — a bit of deniable aid to the rebels, and it would fall into his lap.

And for that matter, remember when the Bush administration predicted that overthrowing Saddam and installing a new government would cost only $50 billion or $60 billion?

The larger problem, however, is that governments all too often gain politically from war, even if the war in question makes no sense in terms of national interests.

Recently Justin Fox of the Harvard Business Review suggested that the roots of the Ukraine crisis may lie in the faltering performance of the Russian economy. As he noted, Mr. Putin’s hold on power partly reflects a long run of rapid economic growth. But Russian growth has been sputtering — and you could argue that the Putin regime needed a distraction.

Similar arguments have been made about other wars that otherwise seem senseless, like Argentina’s invasion of the Falkland Islands in 1982, which is often attributed to the then-ruling junta’s desire to distract the public from an economic debacle. (To be fair, some scholars are highly critical of this claim.)

And the fact is that nations almost always rally around their leaders in times of war, no matter how foolish the war or how awful the leaders. Argentina’s junta briefly became extremely popular during the Falklands war. For a time, the “war on terror” took President George W. Bush’s approval to dizzying heights, and Iraq probably won him the 2004 election. True to form, Mr. Putin’s approval ratings have soared since the Ukraine crisis began.

No doubt it’s an oversimplification to say that the confrontation in Ukraine is all about shoring up an authoritarian regime that is stumbling on other fronts. But there’s surely some truth to that story — and that raises some scary prospects for the future.

Most immediately, we have to worry about escalation in Ukraine. All-out war would be hugely against Russia’s interests — but Mr. Putin may feel that letting the rebellion collapse would be an unacceptable loss of face.

And if authoritarian regimes without deep legitimacy are tempted to rattle sabers when they can no longer deliver good performance, think about the incentives China’s rulers will face if and when that nation’s economic miracle comes to an end — something many economists believe will happen soon.

Starting a war is a very bad idea. But it keeps happening anyway.

 

The U.S. recurring malaise

Until the U.S. institute real universal healthcare, get rid of the guns, adopt a sincere and decent policy towards the Palestinians, combat the poverty issues underlying racism, nobody in Europe is going to listen to them. And rightly so. Now, here you will, dear reader, protest that nothing of the above has to do with the editorial's focus on economic policy. In which case you would be wrong. They all do.

===================================
The Opinion Pages| Editorial

Europe’s Recurring Malaise


Monday, May 5, 2014

The shame of China!

China has no business suppressing the Uighurs - check that: of course, it's all business, imperialist business, dating back to the 19th and 20th century mindsets of proto-Stalinist history, mindsets unfortunately, many world leaders and people are still stuck in. Situations, not made easier by the casual land-divisions of conquerors of the past century.


The Opinion Pages| Op-Ed Contributor

A Uighur Father’s Brave Fight

 
 

BLOOMINGTON, Ind. — The last time I saw my father was on Feb. 2, 2013. We were at the international airport in Beijing, about to board a flight to America for him to spend a year as a visiting scholar at Indiana University. I was 18, and was coming along for a few weeks to help him settle in.
 
We had checked in and were waiting as our passports were inspected. The guards closely examined my father’s documents, then typed information into their computers. Suddenly, security agents arrived and pulled us out of the line. We were put into a small room, without food or a bathroom. The security officers forbade my father from boarding the plane, but they let me go. I cried, but my father insisted that I go.
 
He told me to be strong, and never to cry in front of others. He told me never to let anybody think that I was weak, or that the Uighur people were weak.
 
I don’t know when, or if, I will see him again.
 
My father, Ilham Tohti, an economist and writer, is an outspoken advocate for our people, the Uighurs —Turkic Muslims whose home has traditionally been in present-day northwest China. He’d criticized the Chinese government on his website, which has since been shut down. He’d given interviews to Western reporters after disturbances on July 5, 2009, in which scores of people died in ethnic clashes, and thousands of Uighurs were detained, in Xinjiang Province, in China’s northwest.
Since that summer, our family was put under house arrest without explanation, questioned by the authorities, and had phone conversations bugged. When I called my father, I would hear a clicking sound on the line. My father would joke, “Your old Uncle Police is coming.” Twice, I came home from school to an unexpectedly empty house — my family had been forced to leave town for a few days. Last November, while my father and two younger brothers were en route to the airport to meet my grandmother, a security vehicle rammed into their car and an officer threatened to kill my family.
After that, my father told me, “You are still so young now I don’t want you to get involved. But just know that what I am doing is the right thing.”
 
Many Uighurs are angry about the large migration of Han Chinese from other parts of China into Xinjiang, and the perceived threat to our traditions, language and culture. A very small number of Uighurs have been linked to violent incidents, most recently, a bombing and knife attack at the train station in Urumqi, the capital of Xinjiang, on Wednesday.
 
In a visit to Xinjiang last week, China’s president, Xi Jinping, promised “decisive actions” against “terrorist attacks” by separatist groups. But the government has failed to consider the grievances expressed by people like my father — who has never advocated violence and has called only for equality and respect for the Uighur people and all peoples of China.
 
Three months ago, on Jan. 15, there was a knock on my door in Indiana. A friend of my father’s was outside. He told me that my father had been arrested. From my smartphone, I found out my father was in jail. I was in such shock I forgot to cry.
 
I couldn’t get in touch with my family for five days. When I did, my stepmother told me that my father had been arrested in front of my brothers, ages 4 and 7. No one would tell her where he was being held. It took more than a month before she received an arrest warrant. It revealed that he had been taken to a detention center in Xinjiang — thousands of miles from our home in Beijing — and charged with “separatism.”
Anyone who knows my father knows this accusation is absurd. My father loves his country, and has never advocated violence. His website published writings in Chinese, Uighur, Tibetan and English, with the aim of helping our Han Chinese neighbors better understand China’s minority nationalities. His aim was understanding, and fairness. He is the sort of person the Chinese government should want to work with, not imprison. If he is guilty of anything, it is of speaking uncomfortable truths.
When I was little, my father would pick me up from school, and we’d sing together on our way home. My brothers can’t sing with my father as I once did. They still have nightmares of watching him being dragged away while police officers tore our home apart. Other kids in the neighborhood won’t play with them anymore. When I call them from America, they ask tearfully if they’ll see me again. I don’t know what to tell them.
 
I’m not scared. My father is strong, brave and, above all, honest. He protected me for 18 years. Now it is time for me to tell the truth about who he is and what he stands for, and to do my best to protect him while he sits in a jail far from home.
 
Jewher Ilham, a student at Indiana University, will accept the 2014 PEN/Barbara Goldsmith Freedom to Write Award on behalf of her father, Ilham Tohti, on May 5 in New York City.

Friday, March 28, 2014

Way to go, Inuits!

Canadian Inuit post 'sealfies' to protest Ellen DeGeneres' Oscar-night selfie

http://gu.com/p/3zvzy



inuit sealfie

From the article:

"The meat feeds families, which is important to an area where many households have identified that they face issues of food insecurity," said Sandi Vincent, who posted her own "sealfie" on Thursday. "In Inuit culture, it is believed seals and other animals have souls and offer themselves to you. Humanely and with gratitude we accepted this gift," she said, recalling her first seal hunt at age 15. "My uncle placed some snow in the seal's mouth when it was dead, so its soul would not be thirsty. If there is one word to describe seal-hunting, I would suggest 'respectful'."

DeGeneres' website says Canadian seal-hunting hunt is "one of the most atrocious and inhumane acts against animals allowed by any government."

Yahoooooo.....

Wednesday, March 26, 2014

Grab some land - and 15 credit cards beware!

This article puts the issue into nice perspective: the probably deliberate flabbiness of Western reactions. For example, Obama's "sanctions": a few rich people targeted!? And you are supposed to make an impression upon the Russian people!? Let alone Europeans!? 'A few rich people'!!? It's a kind of indication of an odd misunderstanding of culture, of how people outside of America think. Either that or it is a deliberate meaningless gesture - which I hope no-one in America is fooled by. The Russians - and Europeans - I'm sure - will only have a good laugh.

Putin's speech (Putin's full Crimea speech annotated http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-26652058 - and feel free to disregard the annotations/KA) offers all that's needed to understand the reasonable sentiments of the Russian people; after all the casualness of 1954.

And, when will we in the West, especially America, take hypocracy serious?

Democratic decisionmaking - i.e. the Crimean overwhelming vote to join Russia - would be a nice feature to solve territorial disputes, e.g. in Palestine. It has been used before resulting in cultural respect and the outlining of cooperation across the thus established border; see the Danish-German border solution vote in 1920.

=========================================
http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/mar/25/crimea-cold-war-vladimir-putin-russia

Crimea: all this virile cold war talk won't force Vladimir Putin to slink back

As the most potent symbol of Russia's lost glory, Crimea will never be returned to Ukraine. The west must accept this
 
Russian President Vladimir Putin Attends An Award Ceremony At The Kremlin
 
'Vladimir Putin emerges from this crisis not as clever and calculating but as an emotional, scary figure, lonely and alarmingly bereft of checks or balances.' Photograph: Sasha Mordovets/Getty
We know where this is likely to end. We will accept Russia's sovereignty over Crimea. Sanctions will be quietly dismantled, Moscow will reassure Kiev with a deal on neutrality. Nato will agree no further eastward expansion. The G7 will again become G8; and Crimea will join Tibet, Kosovo, East Timor, Chechnya, Georgia and other territorial interventions which history students will struggle to remember. But how do we get from here to there?

We all seem much wiser about Russia and Ukraine than we were a month ago. Vladimir Putin is not Hitler and Crimea is not Sudetenland, despite the efforts of Russophobic chest-beaters to pretend so. He is a dictator, brutal, proud, controlling, intolerant of criticism and infused with obsessive patriotism. But we get on fine with the Chinese politburo. The triumphalism of western diplomacy towards Russia since 1989 is now seen as the provocative taunting not just of Putin but of all his still benighted nation.

Putin's Ukraine expert, Sergei Glazyev, declared in 2008 that any further moves to integrate Ukraine with the west would lead to "social and economic chaos". Russia would act for sure to protect what it saw as its security interests. Nato ignored such warnings, declaring that Georgia and Ukraine "will become members of Nato". The EU flirted ceaselessly with Kiev. The west cheered on last month's coup against Ukraine's corrupt but elected president, Viktor Yanukovych. To Putin it all rolled up into his version of the Cuban missile crisis.

The veteran political scientist, John Mearsheimer, wrote in the New York Times two weeks ago that if ever a country was needed as a buffer between the west and Russia, it was Ukraine. The west made "a fatal mistake in backing the [Kiev] protesters" in their coup. It was strategically inept. Russia had lost an empire and was unlikely to accept a further tightening of its zone of interest in Ukraine. Sanctions were not an issue. "When vital interests are at stake," wrote Mearsheimer, "countries are invariably willing to suffer great pain to ensure security."

The west's brinkmanship over Ukraine seems inept. The Guardian's Shaun Walker reported yesterday from Moscow's inner sanctum that those round Putin were as baffled by the west's actions as they were surprised, even shocked, by their leader's impulsive reaction. The Crimean occupation was not long planned. It was Putin's response to the west's rejection of his coalition compromise for power-sharing between Kiev and the eastern region after the Kiev coup.

Putin was hurt and angry, his pride especially wounded by criticism of his beloved Sochi Olympics. Anyone who thinks the Olympics are not about politics can think again. As Putin's general in Crimea boasted, the invasion must be all right as "the international community trusted Russia to hold the Olympic Games". Had Putin's compromise been accepted, so an aide reports, Crimea would still be in Ukraine.

In his passionate if paranoid speech in Moscow last week, Putin wondered at the west accusing him of "violating norms of international law", given its own military interventions. Western countries seemed to believe "that they can decide the destinies of the world, that only they can ever be right". He must have gasped as Britain's David Cameron returned from a friendly visit to Israel and attacked Russia's invasion of neighbouring territory as "unacceptable". When did Downing Street demand even a referendum on the West Bank? It seems it cannot spell the word hypocrisy.

In contrast to the posturing and empty rhetoric in London and Washington is the calm voice of Germany's Angela Merkel. We hear that she and her foreign minister, Frank-Walter Steinmeier, have been reading Christopher Clark's The Sleepwalkers, an analysis of the countdown to the Great War. Steinmeier invited Clark to Berlin to debate the topic. Imagine a British politician reading such a book, let alone acting on it.

Clark traces the way highly charged relations between states trap players into losing room for manoeuvre. They caricature their foes and turn their backs on compromise. Merkel grew up in East Germany under the KGB's lash and has tried to see Putin through Russian eyes. She sees the absurdity of Barack Obama preaching international law at Russia, of punishing it over Crimea while scheming to bring Ukraine into the western camp. She sees the 1914 danger, of vague ultimatums, unenforcible red lines and ill-considered alliances.

Putin emerges from this crisis not as clever and calculating but as an emotional, scary figure, lonely and alarmingly bereft of checks or balances. His seizure of Crimea has been popular and, in the scheme of things, no big outrage against international order. But the sabre-rattling along Nato's eastern border is as provocative as were the careless antics of Nato and the EU in Kiev over recent years. Putin too needs a bridge over which to retreat.

The cold war dinosaurs who still tramp the corridors and editorial columns of London and Washington seem almost to pine for the virile certainties of 1945-89. Russia must "pay a heavy price" for Crimea, if only to make cold warriors feel good. That is unlikely to incline the bear to slink back to its cave.

Crimea must be a classic instance of a great power wrestling inside the shrunken straitjacket of imperial retreat, as Britain did, far more violently, half a century ago. As the Russian expert Susan Richards points out in the current issue of Foreign Affairs, Crimea is the most painful and potent symbol of Russia's lost glory. "It was backdrop for more great scenes of Russian culture than anywhere outside Moscow or St Petersburg," the resort and inspiration of Pushkin, Tolstoy, Chekhov and others. Its donation to Ukraine in 1954 was never likely to last.

Nato remains a bulwark against Russian revanchism, already dangerously close to Russia's border. Putin claims to understand it, and fiercely disavows any change to that state of affairs. As for Ukraine, we can chide Russia over respect for sovereign borders, if we have the cheek to do so. We can tell Russia to behave better towards small countries. But Putin will not return Crimea to Ukraine. Trying to make him do so is ridiculous. The real job is somehow to get out of this mess. I imagine Putin agrees.

Thursday, February 27, 2014

The smell of pine

This is the best news I have heard in a long time: plant more pine forests!

Pine smell 'limits' climate change http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-26340038

trees

From the article:

"The scientists stress that the new understanding is not a panacea for climate change as forests will stop emitting vapours if they become too stressed from heat or lack of water.

However, Dr Ehn believes the vapours could have a significant impact in the medium term.

"If you go into a pine forest and notice that pine forest smell, that could be the smell that actually limits climate change from reaching such levels that it could become really a problem in the world.""

Wednesday, February 26, 2014

Ain't that the truth!

Indeed:

“What we need,” Freudenberg said to me, “is to return to the public sector the right to set health policy and to limit corporations’ freedom to profit at the expense of public health.”

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The Opinion Pages| Contributing Op-Ed Writer

Rethinking Our ‘Rights’ to Dangerous Behaviors

FEB. 25, 2014


In the last few years, it’s become increasingly clear that food companies engineer hyperprocessed foods in ways precisely geared to most appeal to our tastes. This technologically advanced engineering is done, of course, with the goal of maximizing profits, regardless of the effects of the resulting foods on consumer health, natural resources, the environment or anything else.

But the issues go way beyond food, as the City University of New York professor Nicholas Freudenberg discusses in his new book, “Lethal but Legal: Corporations, Consumption, and Protecting Public Health.” Freudenberg’s case is that the food industry is but one example of the threat to public health posed by what he calls “the corporate consumption complex,” an alliance of corporations, banks, marketers and others that essentially promote and benefit from unhealthy lifestyles.

It sounds creepy; it is creepy. But it’s also plain to see. Yes, it’s unlikely there’s a cabal that sits down and asks, “How can we kill more kids tomorrow?” But Freudenberg details how six industries — food and beverage, tobacco, alcohol, firearms, pharmaceutical and automotive — use pretty much the same playbook to defend the sales of health-threatening products. This playbook, largely developed by the tobacco industry, disregards human health and poses greater threats to our existence than any communicable disease you can name.

All of these industries work hard to defend our “right” — to smoke, feed our children junk, carry handguns and so on — as matters of choice, freedom and responsibility. Their unified line is that anything that restricts those “rights” is un-American.

Yet each industry, as it (mostly) legally can, designs products that are difficult to resist and sometimes addictive. This may be obvious, if only in retrospect: The food industry has created combinations that most appeal to our brains’ instinctual and learned responses, although we were eating those foods long before we realized that. It may be hidden (and borderline illegal), as when tobacco companies upped the nicotine quotient of tobacco. Sometimes, as Freudenberg points out, the appeals may be subtle: Knowing full well that S.U.V.’s were less safe and more environmentally damaging than standard cars, manufacturers nevertheless marketed them as safer, appealing to our “unconscious ‘reptilian instincts’ for survival and reproduction and to advertise S.U.V.’s as both protection against crime and unsafe drivers and as a means to escape from civilization.”

The problems are clear, but grouping these industries gives us a better way to look at the struggle of consumers, of ordinary people, to regain the upper hand. The issues of auto and gun safety, of drug, alcohol and tobacco addiction, and of hyperconsumption of unhealthy food are not as distinct as we’ve long believed; really, they’re quite similar. For example, the argument for protecting people against marketers of junk food relies in part on the fact that antismoking regulations and seatbelt laws were initially attacked as robbing us of choice; now we know they’re lifesavers.

Thus the most novel and interesting parts of Freudenberg’s book are those that rephrase the discussion of rights and choice, because we need more than seatbelt and antismoking laws, more than a few policies nudging people toward better health. Until now (and, sadly, perhaps well into the future), corporations have been both more nimble and more flush with cash than the public health arms of government. “What we need,” Freudenberg said to me, “is to return to the public sector the right to set health policy and to limit corporations’ freedom to profit at the expense of public health.”

Redefining the argument may help us find strategies that can actually bring about change. The turning point in the tobacco wars was when the question changed from the industry’s — “Do people have the right to smoke?” — to that of public health: “Do people have the right to breathe clean air?” Note that both questions are legitimate, but if you address the first (to which the answer is of course “yes”) without asking the second (to which the answer is of course also “yes”) you miss an opportunity to convert the answer from one that leads to greater industry profits to one that has literally cut smoking rates in half.

Similarly, we need to be asking not “Do junk food companies have the right to market to children?” but “Do children have the right to a healthy diet?” (In Mexico, the second question has been answered positively. Shamefully, we have yet to take that step.) The question is not only, “Do we have a right to bear arms?” but also “Do we have the right to be safe in our streets and schools?” In short, says Freudenberg: “The right to be healthy trumps the right of corporations to promote choices that lead to premature death and preventable illnesses. Protecting public health is a fundamental government responsibility; a decent society should not allow food companies to convince children to buy food that’s bad for them or to encourage a lifetime of unhealthy eating.”

Oddly, these are radical notions. But aren’t they less “un-American” than allowing a company to maximize its return on investment by looking to sell to children or healthy adults in ways that will cause premature mortality? As Freudenberg says, “Shouldn’t science and technology be used to improve human well-being, not to advance business goals that harm health?” Two other questions that can be answered “yes.”

Tuesday, February 25, 2014

A whole lotta bling

Here's a batch of the latest noteworthy issues which most likely will have an effect on the media-ocean similar to 'ships passing through the night' whence this blog is a safe place to take note.

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Uganda seems to be infected by American Christian zealots. Wouldn't it be nice if they just went home and left Ugandans to themselves?

Ugandan tabloid prints list of 'top 200 homosexuals'

http://gu.com/p/3n3c8


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How about service and cultural expectations? Spread the net of analysis a little wider. I hear, hard-working Americans can't afford to buy health insurance one way or the other. Are American politicians playing Russian roulette with Americans? Are most Americans too nice to complain?

Which country has the highest tax rate? http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/magazine-26327114


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Interesting past age, perhaps, better experienced from a distance - although, in so may ways resembling our own. The air, the waters, the poetry, was probably better then.

How Vikings gave bling to the world

http://gu.com/p/3mpen



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Shame on the world for letting those clowns rule!


Why it's a good time to be a dictator like Kim Jong-un | Jonathan Freedland

http://gu.com/p/3mp4n

And here is more:
http://www.theguardian.com/world/video/2014/feb/27/hermit-nation-inside-north-korea-video

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Must be a kind of deepseated self-loathing or lack of self-esteem that keeps Europeans clinging to this sort of hypocritical impotence, constitutional monarchies.

If Prince William wants to protect wildlife, he'd better put down the gun | Ken Wharfe

http://gu.com/p/3mp77


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Nice photo taken on Bornholm by some guy on Google Earth.